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Liga MX · Mexico
Club America vs Toluca prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 03:10 UTC · Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Club America host Toluca in the Liga MX (Mexico) on 1 Nov 2026, 03:10 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Club America had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 20. Toluca had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Club America's last 10 and 8 of Toluca's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Club America averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.06 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Toluca averaged 1.53 scored and 1.60 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.93 goals from Club America and 1.64 from Toluca. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 32%, against 42%, 25% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Club America (green) and Toluca (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club America | DLWWD | 2.20 | 2.00 | 80% | 60% |
| Toluca | DDDLL | 2.00 | 1.70 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Apr 2026 · Club America 2–1 Toluca
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.48 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga MX matches that day
- Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FC · 1 Nov 2026, 01:07 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: Atlante FC +2.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.23 - Monterrey vs Club Tijuana · 1 Nov 2026, 01:05 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: Club Tijuana +2.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.21 - CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANL · 31 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · Liga MX
Published pick: CF Pachuca Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.20