Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction and preview

1 Nov 2026, 15:45 UTC · Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion, Groningen

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.44Market probability 65%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Groningen host Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie (Netherlands) on 1 Nov 2026, 15:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Groningen had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 22. Sparta Rotterdam had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 25 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Groningen's last 10 and 9 of Sparta Rotterdam's last 10; 8 and 10 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Groningen averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.92 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Sparta Rotterdam averaged 1.89 scored and 2.67 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.11 goals from Groningen and 1.67 from Sparta Rotterdam. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 30%, against 54%, 22% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Groningen (green) and Sparta Rotterdam (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form67% – 33%

Attack62% – 38%

Defence63% – 38%

Head-to-head20% – 80%

Goals23% – 77%

Overall strength48% – 51%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Groningen	LDLWW	2.20	2.20	80%	80%
Sparta Rotterdam	DLWDL	1.90	2.50	90%	100%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	77%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	76%	1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No	72%	1.30
Over 2.5 Goals	66%	1.44
BTTS Yes	65%	1.44
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	56%	1.67
Groningen Win	54%	1.75
Under 3.5 Goals	54%	1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.