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Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior vs Twente prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 13:30 UTC · Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Excelsior host Twente in the Eredivisie (Netherlands) on 1 Nov 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Excelsior had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 19. Twente had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Excelsior's last 10 and 6 of Twente's last 10; 9 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Excelsior averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Twente averaged 2.07 scored and 1.53 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.39 goals from Excelsior and 2.37 from Twente. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 59%, against 17%, 22% and 61% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Excelsior (green) and Twente (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| Twente Win | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Eredivisie matches that day
- Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam · 1 Nov 2026, 15:45 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Telstar vs Utrecht · 1 Nov 2026, 13:30 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag · 1 Nov 2026, 11:15 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: ADO Den Haag +1.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.23