Home › League stats › FAW Championship › Gresford Athletic vs Porthmadog
FAW Championship · Wales
Gresford Athletic vs Porthmadog prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gresford Athletic host Porthmadog in the FAW Championship (Wales) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gresford Athletic 0–1 Porthmadog.
Going into the match, Gresford Athletic had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 25. Porthmadog had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Gresford Athletic's last 10 and 6 of Porthmadog's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gresford Athletic averaged 1.00 goals scored and 3.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Porthmadog averaged 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.65 goals from Gresford Athletic and 1.71 from Porthmadog. From that it rates a home win at 13%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 62%, against 20%, 21% and 59% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 42%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gresford Athletic (green) and Porthmadog (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gresford Athletic | WWDLL | 0.60 | 2.50 | 30% | 60% |
| Porthmadog | WWWLD | 1.70 | 1.10 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.50 |
| Porthmadog Win | 57% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Porthmadog HT & FT | 40% | 2.30 |
| 1-2 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.