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Goiano - 2 · Brazil
Goianésia vs Bom Jesus EC prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Goianésia host Bom Jesus EC in the Goiano - 2 (Brazil) on 11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Bom Jesus EC to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Goianésia 1–0 Bom Jesus EC.
Going into the match, Goianésia had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 11. Bom Jesus EC had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Goianésia's last 10 and 7 of Bom Jesus EC's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Goianésia averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Bom Jesus EC averaged 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.17 goals from Goianésia and 1.02 from Bom Jesus EC. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 30%, against 40%, 29% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Goianésia (green) and Bom Jesus EC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goianésia | WLDLD | 1.40 | 1.10 | 70% | 50% |
| Bom Jesus EC | WWDDD | 1.50 | 1.20 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Jul 2026 · Bom Jesus EC 0–0 Goianésia