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Derde Divisie · Netherlands
GOES vs FC Lisse prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
GOES host FC Lisse in the Derde Divisie (Netherlands) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: GOES 2–6 FC Lisse.
Going into the match, GOES had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 20. FC Lisse had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of GOES's last 10 and 5 of FC Lisse's last 10; 9 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home GOES averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home FC Lisse averaged 1.33 scored and 0.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from GOES and 2.53 from FC Lisse. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 65%, against 24%, 22% and 54% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between GOES (green) and FC Lisse (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Apr 2026 · GOES 1–1 FC Lisse
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.61 |
| FC Lisse Win | 55% | 1.67 |
| FC Lisse HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Derde Divisie matches that day
- Dongen vs Groene Ster · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals · FT 3–0 - EVV vs Roosendaal · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40