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Derde Divisie · Netherlands

GOES vs FC Lisse prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 63%Final score 2–6

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

GOES host FC Lisse in the Derde Divisie (Netherlands) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: GOES 2–6 FC Lisse.

Going into the match, GOES had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 20. FC Lisse had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of GOES's last 10 and 5 of FC Lisse's last 10; 9 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home GOES averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home FC Lisse averaged 1.33 scored and 0.89 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from GOES and 2.53 from FC Lisse. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 65%, against 24%, 22% and 54% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between GOES (green) and FC Lisse (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form47% – 53%
Attack53% – 47%
Defence31% – 69%
Head-to-head7% – 93%
Goals18% – 82%
Overall strength28% – 71%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
GOESLLWWW1.702.0070%90%
FC LisseWWDLW1.700.9050%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance X277%1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals75%1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No73%1.26
Over 2.5 Goals63%1.50
BTTS Yes62%1.48
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals57%1.61
FC Lisse Win55%1.67
FC Lisse HT & FT36%2.60

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Derde Divisie matches that day