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Derde Divisie · Netherlands
EVV vs Roosendaal prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
EVV host Roosendaal in the Derde Divisie (Netherlands) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: EVV 3–3 Roosendaal.
Going into the match, EVV had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 19. Roosendaal had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of EVV's last 10 and 5 of Roosendaal's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home EVV averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Roosendaal averaged 1.89 scored and 2.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.10 goals from EVV and 2.72 from Roosendaal. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 51%, against 33%, 23% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between EVV (green) and Roosendaal (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVV | LLDWD | 1.20 | 1.90 | 70% | 50% |
| Roosendaal | LLWLL | 1.70 | 2.10 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance X2 | 67% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Roosendaal Win | 44% | 2.05 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 36% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Derde Divisie matches that day
- GOES vs FC Lisse · 18 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Dongen vs Groene Ster · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Derde Divisie
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals · FT 3–0