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Premiership · Northern Ireland
Glentoran vs Ballymena United prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Glentoran host Ballymena United in the Premiership (Northern Ireland) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Glentoran had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Ballymena United had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Glentoran's last 10 and 7 of Ballymena United's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Glentoran averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Ballymena United averaged 2.22 scored and 1.39 conceded across 18.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.26 goals from Glentoran and 1.27 from Ballymena United. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 35%, against 58%, 22% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Glentoran (green) and Ballymena United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glentoran | WDWWW | 1.30 | 0.80 | 50% | 40% |
| Ballymena United | WWLWW | 1.60 | 1.40 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Aug 2026 · Ballymena United 0–2 Glentoran
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.57 |
| Glentoran Win | 57% | 1.55 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premiership matches that day
- Bangor vs Larne · 24 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Carrick Rangers vs Limavady United · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville FC · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44