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Premiership · Northern Ireland
Bangor vs Larne prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bangor host Larne in the Premiership (Northern Ireland) on 24 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Bangor had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 17. Larne had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Bangor's last 10 and 4 of Larne's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bangor averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Larne averaged 1.50 scored and 0.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.91 goals from Bangor and 1.69 from Larne. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 55%, against 12%, 20% and 68% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bangor (green) and Larne (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Sep 2026 · Larne 1–0 Bangor
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Larne Win | 69% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.73 |
| Larne HT & FT | 48% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premiership matches that day
- Carrick Rangers vs Limavady United · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville FC · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Glentoran vs Ballymena United · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53