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Superliga · Kosovo
Gjilani vs Llapi prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gjilani host Llapi in the Superliga (Kosovo) on 23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Gjilani Win — Gjilani to win. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Gjilani had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 9. Llapi had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Gjilani's last 10 and 2 of Llapi's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gjilani averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Llapi averaged 1.36 scored and 1.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.68 goals from Gjilani and 0.99 from Llapi. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 21%, against 62%, 22% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gjilani (green) and Llapi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 Aug 2026 · Llapi 0–2 Gjilani
- 17 May 2026 · Gjilani 1–2 Llapi
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| Gjilani Win | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Gjilani HT & FT | 44% | 2.10 |
| 2-0 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.