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Primeira Liga · Portugal

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC prediction and preview

2 Nov 2026, 20:15 UTC · Estadio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.36Market probability 67%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

GIL Vicente host Vitória SC in the Primeira Liga (Portugal) on 2 Nov 2026, 20:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, GIL Vicente had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 13. Vitória SC had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of GIL Vicente's last 10 and 3 of Vitória SC's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home GIL Vicente averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Vitória SC averaged 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.67 goals from GIL Vicente and 1.10 from Vitória SC. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 44%, against 33%, 29% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between GIL Vicente (green) and Vitória SC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form58% – 42%
Attack42% – 58%
Defence45% – 55%
Head-to-head7% – 93%
Goals10% – 90%
Overall strength40% – 59%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
GIL VicenteLLWDW1.001.3050%40%
Vitória SCWWLWD1.200.9030%30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals71%1.33
Double Chance 1270%1.33
Over 1.5 Goals67%1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals66%1.44
Under 2.5 Goals57%1.65
Under 9.5 Corners56%1.67
BTTS No50%1.80
Over 2.5 Goals43%2.20

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Primeira Liga matches that day