Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad prediction and preview

21 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS NoOdds 1.44Market probability 63%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Ghazl El Mehalla host Al Ittihad in the Premier League (Egypt) on 21 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Ghazl El Mehalla 2–1 Al Ittihad.

Going into the match, Ghazl El Mehalla had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 13. Al Ittihad had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Ghazl El Mehalla's last 10 and 3 of Al Ittihad's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ghazl El Mehalla averaged 0.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Al Ittihad averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.89 goals from Ghazl El Mehalla and 1.26 from Al Ittihad. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 44%, against 33%, 33% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Ghazl El Mehalla (green) and Al Ittihad (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form8% – 92%

Attack11% – 89%

Defence36% – 64%

Head-to-head62% – 38%

Goals60% – 40%

Overall strength35% – 64%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Ghazl El Mehalla	LDLLD	0.70	1.30	30%	30%
Al Ittihad	WLWWW	1.30	0.80	30%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

18 May 2026 · Ghazl El Mehalla 1–0 Al Ittihad

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance X2	68%	1.36
BTTS No	63%	1.44
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	54%	1.73
Over 8.5 Corners	50%	1.83
Draw	35%	2.70
Al Ittihad Win	33%	2.62
0-1	17%	5.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.