Al Ahly vs Olympic El Qanah prediction and preview

21 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 66%Final score 3–3

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Al Ahly host Olympic El Qanah in the Premier League (Egypt) on 21 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Al Ahly 3–3 Olympic El Qanah.

Going into the match, Al Ahly had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 6. Olympic El Qanah had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Al Ahly's last 10 and 8 of Olympic El Qanah's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Ahly averaged 2.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Olympic El Qanah averaged 1.17 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.35 goals from Al Ahly and 0.97 from Olympic El Qanah. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 13%, against 73%, 18% and 9% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Al Ahly (green) and Olympic El Qanah (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form76% – 24%

Attack67% – 33%

Defence83% – 17%

Overall strength75% – 24%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Al Ahly	WWWWD	2.10	0.60	40%	40%
Olympic El Qanah	DLLDD	1.30	1.20	80%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	77%	1.22
Al Ahly Win	75%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	72%	1.30
Under 3.5 Goals	66%	1.44
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	63%	1.50
BTTS No	60%	1.53
Over 2.5 Goals	55%	1.70
Al Ahly HT & FT	54%	1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.