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Erovnuli Liga 2 · Georgia
Gareji vs Telavi prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gareji host Telavi in the Erovnuli Liga 2 (Georgia) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Gareji to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gareji 2–1 Telavi.
Going into the match, Gareji had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 21. Telavi had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Gareji's last 10 and 6 of Telavi's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gareji averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Telavi averaged 1.29 scored and 1.14 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.30 goals from Gareji and 1.18 from Telavi. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 32%, against 31%, 28% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gareji (green) and Telavi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Telavi 0–0 Gareji
- 6 May 2026 · Gareji 2–0 Telavi
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
| 1-1 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Erovnuli Liga 2 matches that day
- Samtredia vs Aragvi Dusheti · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Erovnuli Liga 2
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 0–1 - Kolkheti Poti vs Odishi 1919 · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Erovnuli Liga 2
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 4–0 - Merani Martvili vs Shturmi · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Erovnuli Liga 2
Published pick: Double Chance X2