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AFC Champions League Two · International
Gangwon FC vs Phnom Penh Crown prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gangwon FC host Phnom Penh Crown in the AFC Champions League Two (International) on 15 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Gangwon FC Win — Gangwon FC to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gangwon FC 1–2 Phnom Penh Crown.
Going into the match, Gangwon FC had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Phnom Penh Crown had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 8, with 13 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Gangwon FC's last 10 and 4 of Phnom Penh Crown's last 8; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gangwon FC averaged 0.93 goals scored and 0.73 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Phnom Penh Crown averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Gangwon FC and 0.82 from Phnom Penh Crown. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 27%, against 58%, 24% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 39%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gangwon FC (green) and Phnom Penh Crown (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gangwon FC | WDLDD | 1.00 | 0.90 | 30% | 40% |
| Phnom Penh Crown | WDDWW | 1.63 | 1.13 | 50% | 63% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.42 |
| Gangwon FC Win | 58% | 1.55 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Gangwon FC HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Gangwon FC form and statistics
- Phnom Penh Crown form and statistics
- AFC Champions League Two statistics
Other AFC Champions League Two matches that day
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Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 1–1 - BG Pathum United vs Adelaide United · 15 Oct 2026, 12:15 UTC · AFC Champions League Two
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.61 · FT 1–2 - Svay Rieng vs Shanghai Shenhua · 15 Oct 2026, 12:15 UTC · AFC Champions League Two
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 · FT 0–0 - Tampines Rovers vs Machida Zelvia · 15 Oct 2026, 12:15 UTC · AFC Champions League Two
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