Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe prediction and preview

26 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.44Market probability 65%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Galatasaray host Fenerbahçe in the Süper Lig (Turkey) on 26 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Galatasaray had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 21. Fenerbahçe had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Galatasaray's last 10 and 3 of Fenerbahçe's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Galatasaray averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Fenerbahçe averaged 1.73 scored and 0.93 conceded across 15.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from Galatasaray and 2.24 from Fenerbahçe. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 58%, against 42%, 24% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Galatasaray (green) and Fenerbahçe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form55% – 45%

Attack35% – 65%

Defence22% – 78%

Head-to-head62% – 38%

Goals60% – 40%

Overall strength44% – 55%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Galatasaray	WWLWD	2.00	2.10	70%	80%
Fenerbahçe	DWLWW	2.20	1.10	30%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

26 Apr 2026 · Galatasaray 3–0 Fenerbahçe

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	75%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	74%	1.25
BTTS Yes	65%	1.44
Over 2.5 Goals	64%	1.48
Under 3.5 Goals	57%	1.67
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	56%	1.67
Over 9.5 Corners	52%	1.82
Galatasaray Win	43%	2.20

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.