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Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş vs Başakşehir prediction and preview
26 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Beşiktaş host Başakşehir in the Süper Lig (Turkey) on 26 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Beşiktaş had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 15. Başakşehir had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Beşiktaş's last 10 and 5 of Başakşehir's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Beşiktaş averaged 2.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Başakşehir averaged 1.00 scored and 1.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.94 goals from Beşiktaş and 0.98 from Başakşehir. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 18%, against 73%, 17% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Beşiktaş (green) and Başakşehir (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beşiktaş | DLWWL | 2.40 | 1.50 | 70% | 80% |
| Başakşehir | WDWLL | 1.30 | 1.50 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Beşiktaş Win | 69% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Beşiktaş HT & FT | 49% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Süper Lig matches that day
- Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe · 26 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Süper Lig
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Rizespor vs Trabzonspor · 26 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Süper Lig
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50