Frosinone vs Lecce prediction and preview

29 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 65%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Frosinone host Lecce in the Serie A (Italy) on 29 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Frosinone had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 15. Lecce had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Frosinone's last 10 and 2 of Lecce's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Frosinone averaged 2.23 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Lecce averaged 1.10 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.86 goals from Frosinone and 1.08 from Lecce. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 21%, against 57%, 24% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Frosinone (green) and Lecce (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form57% – 43%

Attack61% – 39%

Defence47% – 53%

Head-to-head15% – 85%

Goals22% – 78%

Overall strength43% – 56%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Frosinone	DWLWW	2.00	1.50	60%	60%
Lecce	LWLLW	1.00	1.60	20%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	77%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	76%	1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No	72%	1.30
Over 2.5 Goals	65%	1.44
BTTS Yes	64%	1.44
Frosinone Win	56%	1.65
Under 3.5 Goals	56%	1.73
Under 10.5 Corners	56%	1.67

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.