Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar prediction and preview

7 Nov 2026, 15:30 UTC · Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sitard

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.62Market probability 59%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Fortuna Sittard host Telstar in the Eredivisie (Netherlands) on 7 Nov 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Fortuna Sittard had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 16. Telstar had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 21 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Fortuna Sittard's last 10 and 5 of Telstar's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fortuna Sittard averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Telstar averaged 1.36 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.70 goals from Fortuna Sittard and 1.44 from Telstar. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 32%, against 46%, 26% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Fortuna Sittard (green) and Telstar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form69% – 31%

Attack35% – 65%

Defence75% – 25%

Head-to-head62% – 38%

Goals63% – 37%

Overall strength59% – 40%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Fortuna Sittard	DDWDD	1.70	1.60	80%	60%
Telstar	WLLLD	1.30	2.10	50%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	75%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	73%	1.28
Double Chance 1X	72%	1.28
Under 3.5 Goals	62%	1.50
BTTS Yes	61%	1.53
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	61%	1.53
Over 2.5 Goals	59%	1.62
Under 10.5 Corners	54%	1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.