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Eredivisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction and preview
7 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · Bingoal Stadion, The Hague
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
ADO Den Haag host Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie (Netherlands) on 7 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 3.5 Goals — more than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 2.38, which the bookmaker market rated at about 40% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, ADO Den Haag had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 19. Sparta Rotterdam had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 26 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of ADO Den Haag's last 10 and 9 of Sparta Rotterdam's last 10; 6 and 10 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home ADO Den Haag averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Sparta Rotterdam averaged 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.82 goals from ADO Den Haag and 1.68 from Sparta Rotterdam. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 35%, against 37%, 26% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between ADO Den Haag (green) and Sparta Rotterdam (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag | LDLWD | 1.30 | 1.90 | 80% | 60% |
| Sparta Rotterdam | WDLWD | 1.90 | 2.60 | 90% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 40% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Eredivisie matches that day
- Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles · 7 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar · 7 Nov 2026, 15:30 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62