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3. Liga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fortuna Düsseldorf host FC Saarbrücken in the 3. Liga (Germany) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–3 FC Saarbrücken.
Going into the match, Fortuna Düsseldorf had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 15. FC Saarbrücken had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Fortuna Düsseldorf's last 10 and 7 of FC Saarbrücken's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fortuna Düsseldorf averaged 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home FC Saarbrücken averaged 1.64 scored and 1.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1.56 from FC Saarbrücken. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 37%, against 44%, 26% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fortuna Düsseldorf (green) and FC Saarbrücken (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | WDLWW | 1.10 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
| FC Saarbrücken | LDWWD | 1.90 | 1.60 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf Win | 44% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 3. Liga matches that day
- Würzburger Kickers vs Waldhof Mannheim · 17 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · 3. Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Preußen Münster · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 1–0 - SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 0–0