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3. Liga · Germany
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Ingolstadt 04 host Rot-Weiß Essen in the 3. Liga (Germany) on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Ingolstadt 04 1–0 Rot-Weiß Essen.
Going into the match, FC Ingolstadt 04 had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 18. Rot-Weiß Essen had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of FC Ingolstadt 04's last 10 and 5 of Rot-Weiß Essen's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Ingolstadt 04 averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Rot-Weiß Essen averaged 2.25 scored and 2.67 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from FC Ingolstadt 04 and 1.53 from Rot-Weiß Essen. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 40%, against 27%, 26% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Ingolstadt 04 (green) and Rot-Weiß Essen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | WLLLL | 1.30 | 1.80 | 50% | 70% |
| Rot-Weiß Essen | WDDDW | 2.00 | 0.90 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Apr 2026 · Rot-Weiß Essen 4–1 FC Ingolstadt 04
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Rot-Weiß Essen Win | 47% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 3. Liga matches that day
- Würzburger Kickers vs Waldhof Mannheim · 17 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · 3. Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 1–3 - SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Preußen Münster · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - SSV Jahn Regensburg vs SV Wehen · 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 0–0