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Serie C - Girone A · Italy
Folgore Caratese vs Treviso prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Folgore Caratese host Treviso in the Serie C - Girone A (Italy) on 17 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Folgore Caratese to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Folgore Caratese 0–2 Treviso.
Going into the match, Folgore Caratese had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Treviso had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Folgore Caratese's last 10 and 4 of Treviso's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Folgore Caratese averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Treviso averaged 0.88 scored and 1.13 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.86 goals from Folgore Caratese and 1.05 from Treviso. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 38%, against 32%, 30% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Folgore Caratese (green) and Treviso (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Folgore Caratese | LLWDD | 1.00 | 1.40 | 70% | 50% |
| Treviso | LDWDD | 0.80 | 0.80 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 May 2026 · Folgore Caratese 2–0 Treviso
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.25 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 33% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie C - Girone A matches that day
- Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane · 17 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone A
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28