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Premier League · Wales
Flint Town United vs Colwyn Bay prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Flint Town United host Colwyn Bay in the Premier League (Wales) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Flint Town United 0–1 Colwyn Bay.
Going into the match, Flint Town United had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 18. Colwyn Bay had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Flint Town United's last 10 and 3 of Colwyn Bay's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Flint Town United averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Colwyn Bay averaged 1.44 scored and 1.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.95 goals from Flint Town United and 1.62 from Colwyn Bay. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 52%, against 20%, 23% and 57% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flint Town United | WWLLD | 0.80 | 1.80 | 40% | 50% |
| Colwyn Bay | LWWWW | 1.70 | 1.30 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Colwyn Bay Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.