Flamurtari vs Besëlidhja Lezhë prediction and preview

23 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Flamurtari WinOdds 1.44Market probability 61%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Flamurtari host Besëlidhja Lezhë in the 1st Division (Albania) on 23 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Flamurtari Win — Flamurtari to win. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Flamurtari had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 11. Besëlidhja Lezhë had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 9, with 11 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Flamurtari's last 10 and 5 of Besëlidhja Lezhë's last 9; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Flamurtari averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Besëlidhja Lezhë averaged 0.00 scored and 0.50 conceded across 4.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.42 goals from Flamurtari and 0.78 from Besëlidhja Lezhë. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 19%, against 63%, 22% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Flamurtari (green) and Besëlidhja Lezhë (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%

Attack50% – 50%

Defence57% – 43%

Head-to-head80% – 20%

Goals71% – 29%

Overall strength61% – 38%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Flamurtari	WWWDL	1.90	1.10	60%	40%
Besëlidhja Lezhë	WDDWD	1.22	0.89	56%	44%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	71%	1.28
Flamurtari Win	63%	1.44
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	61%	1.48
Over 2.5 Goals	54%	1.73
BTTS Yes	51%	1.81
Under 2.5 Goals	46%	2.08
Flamurtari HT & FT	44%	2.10
2-0	13%	7.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.