Bylis vs Pogradeci prediction and preview

23 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.53Market probability 60%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Bylis host Pogradeci in the 1st Division (Albania) on 23 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Bylis had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 10. Pogradeci had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 5 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Bylis's last 10 and 3 of Pogradeci's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bylis averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Pogradeci averaged 0.83 scored and 1.00 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.73 goals from Bylis and 1.00 from Pogradeci. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 40%, against 33%, 30% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Bylis (green) and Pogradeci (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form45% – 55%

Attack31% – 69%

Defence60% – 40%

Head-to-head100% – 0%

Goals89% – 11%

Overall strength56% – 43%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Bylis	DWWDD	1.50	1.00	60%	40%
Pogradeci	DWWDW	1.70	0.50	30%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	71%	1.27
Double Chance 12	70%	1.30
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	63%	1.44
Under 2.5 Goals	60%	1.53
BTTS No	53%	1.74
Pogradeci Win	38%	2.45
Draw	30%	3.00
0-0	14%	6.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.