Flamengo PI vs Comercial PI prediction and preview

1 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.60Market probability 57%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Flamengo PI host Comercial PI in the Piauiense - 2 (Brazil) on 1 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Flamengo PI to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Flamengo PI 1–0 Comercial PI.

Going into the match, Flamengo PI had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Comercial PI had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with 9 scored and 6 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Flamengo PI's last 5 and 5 of Comercial PI's last 5; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Flamengo PI averaged 2.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Comercial PI averaged 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 2.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Flamengo PI and 1.21 from Comercial PI. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 35%, against 30%, 28% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Flamengo PI (green) and Comercial PI (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form41% – 59%

Attack47% – 53%

Defence46% – 54%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals50% – 50%

Overall strength51% – 48%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Flamengo PI	LWDWL	1.60	1.40	60%	60%
Comercial PI	WWDLW	1.80	1.20	100%	80%

Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

6 Sep 2026 · Comercial PI 2–1 Flamengo PI