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Prva Liga · Serbia
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV vs Naftagas prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV host Naftagas in the Prva Liga (Serbia) on 4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Win — FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV to win. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 0–6 Naftagas.
Going into the match, FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Naftagas had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV's last 10 and 7 of Naftagas's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Naftagas averaged 1.50 scored and 1.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV and 2.13 from Naftagas. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 55%, against 62%, 22% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 23%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV (green) and Naftagas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | LLLWW | 1.50 | 1.70 | 60% | 50% |
| Naftagas | WLDDD | 1.30 | 1.50 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Win | 62% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.74 |
| FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV HT & FT | 44% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| 2-0 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.