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Czech Liga · Czech Republic
FK Jablonec vs Plzen prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FK Jablonec host Plzen in the Czech Liga (Czech Republic) on 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FK Jablonec 2–3 Plzen.
Going into the match, FK Jablonec had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Plzen had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of FK Jablonec's last 10 and 5 of Plzen's last 10; 3 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FK Jablonec averaged 1.65 goals scored and 0.70 conceded across 20 matches; away from home Plzen averaged 1.10 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.46 goals from FK Jablonec and 1.43 from Plzen. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 36%, against 35%, 27% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FK Jablonec (green) and Plzen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Jablonec | LWWDL | 1.10 | 1.10 | 40% | 30% |
| Plzen | LWLLL | 1.50 | 1.50 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · Plzen 5–0 FK Jablonec
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Czech Liga matches that day
- Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Czech Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno · 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Czech Liga
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 · FT 1–2