Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 62%Final score 0–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Baník Ostrava host Sparta Praha in the Czech Liga (Czech Republic) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Baník Ostrava 0–0 Sparta Praha.

Going into the match, Baník Ostrava had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 14. Sparta Praha had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Baník Ostrava's last 10 and 4 of Sparta Praha's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Baník Ostrava averaged 1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Sparta Praha averaged 1.69 scored and 1.46 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.16 goals from Baník Ostrava and 1.54 from Sparta Praha. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 45%, against 22%, 24% and 54% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Baník Ostrava (green) and Sparta Praha (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form10% – 90%

Attack27% – 73%

Defence29% – 71%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals43% – 57%

Overall strength30% – 69%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Baník Ostrava	LDDDL	1.60	1.40	40%	50%
Sparta Praha	DWWWW	2.70	1.00	40%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance X2	77%	1.20
BTTS 1st Half - No	75%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	72%	1.28
Under 3.5 Goals	62%	1.50
BTTS Yes	59%	1.62
Over 2.5 Goals	59%	1.60
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	59%	1.57
Sparta Praha Win	54%	1.67

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.