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Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto vs Estoril prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Porto host Estoril in the Primeira Liga (Portugal) on 31 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, FC Porto had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 11. Estoril had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of FC Porto's last 10 and 6 of Estoril's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Porto averaged 1.31 goals scored and 0.46 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Estoril averaged 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.70 goals from FC Porto and 0.49 from Estoril. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 9%, against 77%, 14% and 9% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 38%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Porto (green) and Estoril (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| FC Porto Win | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.53 |
| FC Porto 1st Half Win | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.57 |
| FC Porto HT & FT | 57% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primeira Liga matches that day
- Moreirense vs Estrela · 31 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Primeira Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30