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Friendlies Clubs · International
FC Lugano vs Hellas Verona prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Lugano host Hellas Verona in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 2 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.59, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Lugano 1–3 Hellas Verona.
Going into the match, FC Lugano had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 31 and conceding 10. Hellas Verona had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of FC Lugano's last 10 and 7 of Hellas Verona's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Lugano averaged 2.07 goals scored and 0.79 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Hellas Verona averaged 1.17 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.67 goals from FC Lugano and 1.20 from Hellas Verona. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 14%, against 37%, 26% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Lugano (green) and Hellas Verona (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Lugano | WWDWW | 3.10 | 1.00 | 80% | 80% |
| Hellas Verona | WLWWD | 2.00 | 1.10 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.23 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.47 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.59 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
| Hellas Verona Win | 38% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.