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Premier League · Ethiopia

Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema prediction and preview

11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.33Market probability 68%Final score 0–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Ethiopia Bunna host Sheger Ketema in the Premier League (Ethiopia) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Ethiopia Bunna to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Ethiopia Bunna 0–1 Sheger Ketema.

Going into the match, Ethiopia Bunna had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Sheger Ketema had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 6 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Ethiopia Bunna's last 10 and 2 of Sheger Ketema's last 10; 4 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ethiopia Bunna averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Sheger Ketema averaged 1.14 scored and 0.86 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.70 goals from Ethiopia Bunna and 0.92 from Sheger Ketema. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 38%, against 36%, 32% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Ethiopia Bunna (green) and Sheger Ketema (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Head-to-head80% – 20%
Goals60% – 40%
Overall strength70% – 30%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Ethiopia BunnaDWDLL0.901.0040%40%
Sheger KetemaWWLDW0.800.6020%10%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

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