Home › League stats › Ligue 1 › Estac Troyes vs Le Mans
Ligue 1 · France
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Estac Troyes host Le Mans in the Ligue 1 (France) on 31 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Estac Troyes had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 19. Le Mans had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Estac Troyes's last 10 and 8 of Le Mans's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Estac Troyes averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Le Mans averaged 1.33 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Estac Troyes and 1.15 from Le Mans. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 31%, against 40%, 27% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Estac Troyes (green) and Le Mans (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | DLLDL | 0.80 | 1.90 | 50% | 40% |
| Le Mans | DLLLW | 1.20 | 1.90 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 1 matches that day
- Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 · 31 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30