Erzgebirge Aue vs Hallescher FC prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.44Market probability 65%Final score 0–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Erzgebirge Aue host Hallescher FC in the Regionalliga - Nordost (Germany) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Erzgebirge Aue 0–1 Hallescher FC.

Going into the match, Erzgebirge Aue had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 16. Hallescher FC had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Erzgebirge Aue's last 10 and 5 of Hallescher FC's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Erzgebirge Aue averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.57 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Hallescher FC averaged 1.82 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Erzgebirge Aue and 1.39 from Hallescher FC. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 40%, against 34%, 24% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Erzgebirge Aue (green) and Hallescher FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form35% – 65%

Attack41% – 59%

Defence36% – 64%

Head-to-head71% – 29%

Goals53% – 47%

Overall strength46% – 53%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Erzgebirge Aue	LLDWW	1.20	1.60	70%	80%
Hallescher FC	WWWWD	1.70	0.80	50%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	70%	1.31
Double Chance X2	66%	1.35
BTTS Yes	63%	1.44
Over 2.5 Goals	62%	1.48
Under 3.5 Goals	61%	1.51
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	53%	1.74
Hallescher FC Win	43%	2.11
Over 3.5 Goals	39%	2.32

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.