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Regionalliga - Nordost · Germany
BFC Dynamo vs Chemnitzer FC prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
BFC Dynamo host Chemnitzer FC in the Regionalliga - Nordost (Germany) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.43, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: BFC Dynamo 1–1 Chemnitzer FC.
Going into the match, BFC Dynamo had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 8. Chemnitzer FC had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of BFC Dynamo's last 10 and 5 of Chemnitzer FC's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home BFC Dynamo averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Chemnitzer FC averaged 2.20 scored and 0.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.96 goals from BFC Dynamo and 1.39 from Chemnitzer FC. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 46%, against 31%, 23% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between BFC Dynamo (green) and Chemnitzer FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFC Dynamo | WWWDW | 1.80 | 0.80 | 50% | 40% |
| Chemnitzer FC | WWWLW | 2.10 | 0.60 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · BFC Dynamo 2–2 Chemnitzer FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 69% | 1.29 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.32 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.46 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.54 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 52% | 1.77 |
| Chemnitzer FC Win | 46% | 1.96 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 41% | 2.26 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Regionalliga - Nordost matches that day
- Erzgebirge Aue vs Hallescher FC · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Regionalliga - Nordost
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Magdeburg II vs Greifswalder FC · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Regionalliga - Nordost
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.48 · FT 4–2