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Second League · Egypt
El Mansura vs AL Nasr SC prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
El Mansura host AL Nasr SC in the Second League (Egypt) on 15 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — El Mansura to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: El Mansura 1–2 AL Nasr SC.
Going into the match, El Mansura had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9. AL Nasr SC had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 8, with 11 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of El Mansura's last 10 and 5 of AL Nasr SC's last 8; 1 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home El Mansura averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home AL Nasr SC averaged 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.16 goals from El Mansura and 1.05 from AL Nasr SC. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 31%, against 40%, 32% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between El Mansura (green) and AL Nasr SC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Mansura | WWLDD | 1.10 | 0.90 | 50% | 10% |
| AL Nasr SC | DWWLW | 1.38 | 0.75 | 63% | 25% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 69% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.61 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.62 |
| El Mansura Win | 36% | 2.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 35% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.80 |
| 0-0 | 17% | 5.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Second League matches that day
- El Dakhleya vs Itesalat · 15 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.22 · FT 1–3 - Kahraba Ismailia vs Team · 15 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Kahraba Ismailia Win @ 1.44 · FT 2–3 - La Viena FC vs Haras El Hodood · 15 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–0 - Tanta SC vs Dayrout · 15 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Second League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 0–0