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Second League · Egypt
El Dakhleya vs Itesalat prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
El Dakhleya host Itesalat in the Second League (Egypt) on 15 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Itesalat to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: El Dakhleya 1–3 Itesalat.
Going into the match, El Dakhleya had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Itesalat had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of El Dakhleya's last 10 and 2 of Itesalat's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home El Dakhleya averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Itesalat averaged 0.88 scored and 1.38 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from El Dakhleya and 1.17 from Itesalat. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 38%, against 25%, 32% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between El Dakhleya (green) and Itesalat (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Dakhleya | LWWLL | 0.80 | 1.10 | 40% | 50% |
| Itesalat | LWWLW | 1.10 | 0.90 | 20% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.22 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.58 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| Itesalat Win | 44% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.80 |
| 0-0 | 17% | 5.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.