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Superliga · Kosovo
Dukagjini vs Vushtrria prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dukagjini host Vushtrria in the Superliga (Kosovo) on 14 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dukagjini 1–0 Vushtrria.
Going into the match, Dukagjini had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Vushtrria had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Dukagjini's last 10 and 4 of Vushtrria's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dukagjini averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Vushtrria averaged 1.14 scored and 1.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.52 goals from Dukagjini and 0.57 from Vushtrria. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 13%, against 78%, 15% and 8% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 35%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dukagjini (green) and Vushtrria (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| BTTS No | 65% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.49 |
| Dukagjini HT & FT | 58% | 1.62 |
| Dukagjini 1st Half Win | 58% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| 3-0 | 16% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.