Dukagjini vs Drenica Skënderaj prediction and preview

19 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.70Market probability 55%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Dukagjini host Drenica Skënderaj in the Superliga (Kosovo) on 19 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Dukagjini 1–1 Drenica Skënderaj.

Going into the match, Dukagjini had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Drenica Skënderaj had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Dukagjini's last 10 and 4 of Drenica Skënderaj's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dukagjini averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Drenica Skënderaj averaged 1.30 scored and 1.30 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from Dukagjini and 0.90 from Drenica Skënderaj. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 25%, against 53%, 28% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Dukagjini (green) and Drenica Skënderaj (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form53% – 47%

Attack29% – 71%

Defence82% – 18%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals60% – 40%

Overall strength57% – 42%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Dukagjini	WDLDW	1.00	1.00	40%	40%
Drenica Skënderaj	LDLWW	1.20	1.40	40%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

15 Aug 2026 · Drenica Skënderaj 0–0 Dukagjini
3 May 2026 · Dukagjini 0–1 Drenica Skënderaj

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	74%	1.25
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	68%	1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	65%	1.39
Under 2.5 Goals	55%	1.70
Dukagjini Win	53%	1.70
BTTS No	53%	1.73
Dukagjini HT & FT	35%	2.62
Draw	27%	3.25

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.