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First NL · Croatia
Dugopolje vs Croatia Zmijavci prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 10:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dugopolje host Croatia Zmijavci in the First NL (Croatia) on 11 Oct 2026, 10:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dugopolje 0–1 Croatia Zmijavci.
Going into the match, Dugopolje had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Croatia Zmijavci had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Dugopolje's last 10 and 4 of Croatia Zmijavci's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dugopolje averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Croatia Zmijavci averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Dugopolje and 1.67 from Croatia Zmijavci. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 47%, against 43%, 29% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dugopolje (green) and Croatia Zmijavci (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dugopolje | LWLDD | 1.10 | 1.60 | 60% | 70% |
| Croatia Zmijavci | WLLDW | 1.70 | 0.70 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Apr 2026 · Croatia Zmijavci 1–1 Dugopolje
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Dugopolje Win | 43% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.