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Primera A · Colombia
Deportivo Pereira vs Chico prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo Pereira host Chico in the Primera A (Colombia) on 20 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportivo Pereira 2–0 Chico.
Going into the match, Deportivo Pereira had won 0, drawn 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 20. Chico had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Deportivo Pereira's last 10 and 4 of Chico's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo Pereira averaged 0.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Chico averaged 0.36 scored and 2.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.16 goals from Deportivo Pereira and 0.82 from Chico. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 25%, against 43%, 30% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportivo Pereira (green) and Chico (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pereira | DDLLD | 0.70 | 2.00 | 60% | 60% |
| Chico | LLDWL | 1.10 | 1.30 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Deportivo Pereira Win | 43% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera A matches that day
- Millonarios vs Once Caldas · 21 Oct 2026, 01:30 UTC · Primera A
Published pick: Millonarios Win @ 1.80 · FT 1–1 - Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional · 20 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Primera A
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–0 - Internacional de Bogota vs Fortaleza FC · 20 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC · Primera A
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.67 · FT 2–1