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Primera División · Venezuela
Deportivo La Guaira vs Trujillanos FC prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo La Guaira host Trujillanos FC in the Primera División (Venezuela) on 17 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Deportivo La Guaira Win — Deportivo La Guaira to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportivo La Guaira 1–2 Trujillanos FC.
Going into the match, Deportivo La Guaira had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 13. Trujillanos FC had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Deportivo La Guaira's last 10 and 7 of Trujillanos FC's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo La Guaira averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.46 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Trujillanos FC averaged 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.74 goals from Deportivo La Guaira and 0.89 from Trujillanos FC. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 18%, against 59%, 24% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportivo La Guaira (green) and Trujillanos FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Guaira | DLLLW | 1.80 | 1.30 | 60% | 50% |
| Trujillanos FC | DLDDL | 1.20 | 1.70 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Apr 2026 · Trujillanos FC 0–1 Deportivo La Guaira
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Deportivo La Guaira Win | 59% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Deportivo La Guaira form and statistics
- Trujillanos FC form and statistics
- Primera División statistics
Other Primera División matches that day
- Zamora FC vs Anzoátegui FC · 17 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67