D. La Serena vs Concepción prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.67Market probability 55%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

D. La Serena host Concepción in the Primera División (Chile) on 24 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, D. La Serena had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Concepción had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 7 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of D. La Serena's last 10 and 3 of Concepción's last 10; 6 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home D. La Serena averaged 1.36 goals scored and 2.14 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Concepción averaged 1.17 scored and 1.08 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from D. La Serena and 1.63 from Concepción. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 46%, against 41%, 28% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between D. La Serena (green) and Concepción (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form54% – 46%

Attack67% – 33%

Defence29% – 71%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals50% – 50%

Overall strength50% – 49%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
D. La Serena	LLWWD	1.50	1.70	60%	60%
Concepción	DLLWW	1.20	0.70	30%	10%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

19 Apr 2026 · Concepción 3–3 D. La Serena

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
BTTS 1st Half - No	78%	1.20
Over 1.5 Goals	74%	1.25
Double Chance 12	72%	1.33
Under 3.5 Goals	71%	1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	68%	1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	65%	1.44
BTTS Yes	55%	1.67
Over 2.5 Goals	50%	1.85

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.