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Primera División · Chile
A. Italiano vs Huachipato prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
A. Italiano host Huachipato in the Primera División (Chile) on 23 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, A. Italiano had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Huachipato had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of A. Italiano's last 10 and 4 of Huachipato's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home A. Italiano averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.31 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Huachipato averaged 1.15 scored and 1.38 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.47 goals from A. Italiano and 0.93 from Huachipato. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 23%, against 45%, 27% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between A. Italiano (green) and Huachipato (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Italiano | LDWWL | 0.80 | 1.10 | 40% | 30% |
| Huachipato | WWWDL | 1.20 | 1.70 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 20 Apr 2026 · Huachipato 3–2 A. Italiano
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera División matches that day
- D. La Serena vs Concepción · 24 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67