Criciuma vs Ponte Preta prediction and preview

30 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS NoOdds 1.36Market probability 67%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Criciuma host Ponte Preta in the Serie B (Brazil) on 30 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Criciuma had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Ponte Preta had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 24 conceded.

Both teams scored in 1 of Criciuma's last 10 and 3 of Ponte Preta's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Criciuma averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Ponte Preta averaged 0.47 scored and 3.00 conceded across 15.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.08 goals from Criciuma and 0.43 from Ponte Preta. From that it rates a home win at 76%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 6%, against 88%, 9% and 4% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Criciuma (green) and Ponte Preta (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form82% – 18%

Attack56% – 44%

Defence80% – 20%

Head-to-head85% – 15%

Goals62% – 38%

Overall strength75% – 24%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Criciuma	LWWLW	1.00	1.10	10%	30%
Ponte Preta	DDLLL	0.50	2.40	30%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

9 Jul 2026 · Ponte Preta 1–2 Criciuma

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	77%	1.20
Criciuma HT & FT	71%	1.36
Criciuma 1st Half Win	70%	1.33
BTTS No	67%	1.36
Over 8.5 Corners	54%	1.73
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	51%	1.80
3-0	17%	5.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.