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Serie B · Brazil
Botafogo SP vs Sport Recife prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Botafogo SP host Sport Recife in the Serie B (Brazil) on 31 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Botafogo SP had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Sport Recife had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Botafogo SP's last 10 and 8 of Sport Recife's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Botafogo SP averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Sport Recife averaged 1.00 scored and 1.24 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from Botafogo SP and 1.07 from Sport Recife. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 30%, against 37%, 29% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo SP | WWWWL | 1.10 | 1.00 | 40% | 30% |
| Sport Recife | WLDWW | 1.40 | 1.40 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Jul 2026 · Sport Recife 3–3 Botafogo SP
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 11.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie B matches that day
- Vila Nova vs Juventude · 31 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 - Criciuma vs Ponte Preta · 30 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.36