Coritiba vs Vitoria prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.33Market probability 72%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Coritiba host Vitoria in the Serie A (Brazil) on 31 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Coritiba had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 21. Vitoria had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Coritiba's last 10 and 6 of Vitoria's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Coritiba averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Vitoria averaged 1.06 scored and 1.88 conceded across 17.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from Coritiba and 1.56 from Vitoria. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 42%, against 40%, 29% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Coritiba (green) and Vitoria (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form17% – 83%

Attack11% – 89%

Defence37% – 63%

Head-to-head62% – 38%

Goals45% – 55%

Overall strength39% – 60%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Coritiba	LLDLL	1.10	2.10	60%	60%
Vitoria	DDLWL	1.20	1.40	60%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

3 May 2026 · Vitoria 4–1 Coritiba

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	72%	1.33
Over 1.5 Goals	72%	1.30
Under 3.5 Goals	72%	1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.40
BTTS Yes	54%	1.70
Under 2.5 Goals	51%	1.80
Over 2.5 Goals	49%	2.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.