Corinthians vs Mirassol prediction and preview

30 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.30Market probability 72%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Corinthians host Mirassol in the Serie A (Brazil) on 30 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Corinthians had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 20. Mirassol had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Corinthians's last 10 and 5 of Mirassol's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Corinthians averaged 1.18 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Mirassol averaged 0.89 scored and 1.22 conceded across 18.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.13 goals from Corinthians and 1.26 from Mirassol. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 38%, against 53%, 26% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Corinthians (green) and Mirassol (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form11% – 89%

Attack50% – 50%

Defence19% – 81%

Head-to-head60% – 40%

Goals71% – 29%

Overall strength44% – 55%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Corinthians	LDLLL	0.90	2.00	80%	60%
Mirassol	DWLDW	1.50	0.90	50%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

4 May 2026 · Mirassol 2–1 Corinthians

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	74%	1.28
Under 3.5 Goals	73%	1.33
Over 1.5 Goals	72%	1.30
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.40
Corinthians Win	52%	1.80
Under 2.5 Goals	52%	1.85
BTTS Yes	50%	1.80

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.