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Paulista - U20 · Brazil
Corinthians U20 vs Guarani U20 prediction and preview
29 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Corinthians U20 host Guarani U20 in the Paulista - U20 (Brazil) on 29 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Corinthians U20 Win — Corinthians U20 to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Corinthians U20 1–0 Guarani U20.
Going into the match, Corinthians U20 had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 7. Guarani U20 had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Corinthians U20's last 10 and 7 of Guarani U20's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Corinthians U20 averaged 2.33 goals scored and 1.06 conceded across 18 matches; away from home Guarani U20 averaged 1.56 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from Corinthians U20 and 0.82 from Guarani U20. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 18%, against 55%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Corinthians U20 (green) and Guarani U20 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians U20 | DWDWW | 2.40 | 0.70 | 40% | 60% |
| Guarani U20 | DWLWD | 2.00 | 1.10 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 Oct 2026 · Guarani U20 2–2 Corinthians U20
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.29 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| Corinthians U20 Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Paulista - U20 matches that day
- RB Bragantino U20 vs Capivariano U20 · 30 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Paulista - U20
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 4–1 - Santos U20 vs Santo André U20 · 30 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Paulista - U20
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 2–1